Tom Henderson has landed on a specific prediction for when Rockstar Games finally breaks its silence on Grand Theft Auto VI after confirming pre-orders on June 25. His pick? August 6. If right, that would mean we will get the next Grand Theft Auto trailer in less than two weeks.

Keep in mind that this is a prediction. Henderson has made it clear this isn't a leak. He's not claiming someone from Rockstar told him about it.

Instead, Henderson's claim hinges on the next Take-Two Interactive earnings call. The company that owns Rockstar will reports its financial results to investors on August 7. An earnings call is where a company tells its shareholders how it is doing and what is coming. If you drop a massively hyped trailer the day before you talk to investors, you walk into that call with fresh, enormous engagement numbers to wave around, including but not limited to, record views, a spike in pre-orders, and the internet on proverbial fire about your product.

A new look at Vice City and Leonida is an excellent way to put your shareholders in the right move before you ask them to stay excited about your stock.

This is the pattern Henderson is leaning on, and one that we've also mentioned before. The second GTA 6 trailer arrives in May 2025, shortly before a Take-Two investor briefing. Rockstar has a solid history of clustering big reveals around these financial dates, and it's not a coincidence considering a trailer is a marketing asset AND an investor-relations asset.

Then again, a pattern is not a guarantee. Rockstar is under no obligation to follow its own past behaviour, and it has broken expectations plenty of times. Henderson himself is open about this possibility, especially agreeing with our stance that the company often does whatever it wants, even to the point of disappointing shareholders and fans alike.

What Henderson Predicted, and What Kind of Claim It Is

DetailWhat He Said
The predicted date
Around August 6, 2026
The reasoning
Rockstar tends to drop trailers just before Take-Two earnings calls
The anchor
Take-Two's next earnings call is August 7
The status
A reasoned prediction, explicitly not a leak or insider tip
His consistency
He has pointed at early August since February

The details of Tom Henderson's Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 3 prediction and its status as informed speculation.

The reason a reasoned guess about a trailer date becomes major news across dozens of outlets, ours included, is that Rockstar has shown almost nothing for months. In a normal marketing cycle, an insider's timing prediction won't make a fraction of the noise it makes. In this kind of vacuum, it becomes a headline, because a credible guess is the closest thing to news available.

For what it's worth, Take-Two has said its marketing push would ramp up in the summer. The window before a November launch is getting genuinely tight. Bloomberg's Jason Schreier has separately said Rockstar seems confident about the November date. None of that confirms a trailer on August 6, but it all points at the same general stretch of calendar.

When independent signals converge on a window, the window gets more believable even if the specific day does not.

So treat this the way it is. A well-informed person, with a good but imperfect track record, has made a reasonable prediction that we'll get to see more of GTA 6 around August 6. It isn't a leak. It isn't confirmed. Rockstar hasn't said anything. Even if it's wrong, the sound reasoning behind it still stands.

Either way, we are days rather than months from finding out, which is more than what we could say for the past four years.