Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026)
74% chance · 2,429 MK in pool · 8 bets
Pool
3,270 MK
Pool fee
163 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
3,107 MK
Closes
Nov 18, 2026, 11:00 AM
Market context
Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice... Rockstar has moved the date from "Fall 2025" to "May 2026," and now to "Nov 19, 2026." Do you trust that this is the final date, or will the quest for "polish" push us into 2027?
74% chance · 2,429 MK in pool · 8 bets
25% chance · 808 MK in pool · 5 bets
1% chance · 33 MK in pool · 0 bets
This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Bet placed
Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026)
Bet placed
Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026)
Bet placed
Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026)
Bet placed
Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026)
Bet placed
Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026)
Bet placed
Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026)
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026, 5:59 PM | Bet placed | Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026) | 74% | 1.28x | 3,107 MK |
| Oct 13, 2026, 5:53 PM | Bet placed | Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026) | 70% | 1.36x | 2,632 MK |
| Sep 11, 2026, 10:57 AM | Bet placed | Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026) | 63% | 1.51x | 2,157 MK |
| Aug 4, 2026, 3:27 PM | Bet placed | Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026) | 63% | 1.51x | 2,152 MK |
| Jul 21, 2026, 4:10 AM | Bet placed | Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026) | 63% | 1.51x | 2,147 MK |
| Jul 3, 2026, 6:44 PM | Bet placed | Yes (Releases Nov 19, 2026) | 53% | 1.81x | 1,672 MK |