Record Broken.
GTA 6 sells more than 20 million copies in its first 30 days of release, surpassing GTA V's reported launch window.
80% chance · 200 MK in pool · 2 bets
Pool
250 MK
Pool fee
12 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
238 MK
Closes
Dec 19, 2026, 10:59 AM
Market context
Strauss Zelnick says he can't imagine a single console-owning adult sitting out GTA 6 in November. Analysts are projecting 40 million copies and $3.2 billion in year one. Every competing publisher has cleared Q4.
Market options
1.19x
Short.
GTA 6 sells less than 20 million copies in its first 30 days, below GTA V's pace.
20% chance · 50 MK in pool · 0 bets
Market status
This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.
Market movement
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Latest: 80%
Bet placed
Record Broken.
Jul 26, 2026, 12:56 PM80%Net pool238 MK
Market odds converted
Record Broken.
Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM67%Net pool143 MK
Bet placed
n/a
Mar 19, 2026, 9:55 PMn/aNet pool50 MK
Opening odds
n/a
Mar 19, 2026, 9:09 PMn/aNet pool0 MK
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026, 12:56 PM | Bet placed | Record Broken. | 80% | 1.19x | 238 MK |
| Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM | Market odds converted | Record Broken. | 67% | 1.43x | 143 MK |
| Mar 19, 2026, 9:55 PM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 50 MK |
| Mar 19, 2026, 9:09 PM | Opening odds | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0 MK |