Matches the Throne (95 or higher).
GTA 6 reaches a Metacritic critic score of 95 or above, meeting Zelnick's stated benchmark and matching or beating GTA V's 97.
n/a chance · 55 MK in pool · 0 bets
Pool
0 MK
Pool fee
0 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
0 MK
Closes
Nov 18, 2026, 10:59 AM
Market context
Zelnick told Wall Street at TD Cowen that GTA 6's success isn't about opening weekend. It's about review scores above 95 and players still logging in a decade from now. GTA V holds a 97 on Metacritic 13 years after launch. Red Dead Redemption 2 hit 97. The $3 billion budget, the unlimited resources, the three delays all exist to protect this one number, because a 95-plus score is what sustains a 10 year revenue tail. Anything below 90 would be a shock.
Market options
n/a
Elite but Short (90 to 94).
GTA 6 lands a Metacritic score between 90 and 94. A great game by any measure but below the GTA V benchmark and Zelnick's target.
n/a chance · 33 MK in pool · 0 bets
Merely Very Good (85 to 89).
GTA 6 scores between 85 and 89 on Metacritic. Strong, but the kind of score the article frames as a disappointment for a game of this scale and budget.
n/a chance · 11 MK in pool · 0 bets
The Unthinkable (Below 85).
GTA 6 lands a Metacritic score below 85, a scenario almost nobody is predicting for a Rockstar flagship.
n/a chance · 1 MK in pool · 0 bets
Market status
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