May 18 Confirmed.
Pre orders for GTA 6 physical editions go live at major retailers (Best Buy, Amazon, GameStop, etc.) on May 18, 2026 as the Best Buy affiliate email indicates.
72% chance · 2,161 MK in pool · 7 bets
The Bookie
Will GTA 6 physical pre orders open on or before May 21, 2026?
Best Buy's affiliate platform sent emails to multiple creators showing a "GTA 6 Pre Order (Physical Game)" campaign running May 18 to 21. Insider Gaming verified the emails came through Impact's domain. The earnings call is May 21. The pre order window perfectly straddles it. Either Best Buy just blew Rockstar's marketing secret wide open, or someone in retail entered placeholder data that's about to embarrass an entire affiliate program.
ResolvedMarket odds
Pool
3,015 MK
Pool fee
150 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
2,865 MK
Closes
May 17, 2026, 11:59 AM
Market context
Best Buy's affiliate platform sent emails to multiple creators showing a "GTA 6 Pre Order (Physical Game)" campaign running May 18 to 21. Insider Gaming verified the emails came through Impact's domain. The earnings call is May 21. The pre order window perfectly straddles it. Either Best Buy just blew Rockstar's marketing secret wide open, or someone in retail entered placeholder data that's about to embarrass an entire affiliate program.
Market options
1.33x
May 19 to 21.
Pre orders open at major retailers between May 19 and May 21, 2026, landing within the earnings call week but not on the leaked date.
28% chance · 831 MK in pool · 2 bets
After May 21.Winner
Pre orders do not open by the end of the May 21 earnings call. The Best Buy email turns out to be placeholder data or the timeline shifts later.
1% chance · 23 MK in pool · 0 bets
Market status
Final outcome: After May 21. Pre orders do not open by the end of the May 21 earnings call. The Best Buy email turns out to be placeholder data or the timeline shifts later..
Market movement
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Latest: 72%
Market resolved
May 18 Confirmed.
May 21, 2026, 9:38 PM72%Net pool2,865 MK
Bet placed
May 18 Confirmed.
May 16, 2026, 4:08 PM72%Net pool2,865 MK
Bet placed
May 18 Confirmed.
May 15, 2026, 7:29 PM80%Net pool2,580 MK
Bet placed
May 18 Confirmed.
May 15, 2026, 3:57 PM75%Net pool2,105 MK
Bet placed
May 18 Confirmed.
May 15, 2026, 1:08 AM68%Net pool1,630 MK
Bet placed
May 18 Confirmed.
May 15, 2026, 12:35 AM96%Net pool1,155 MK
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026, 9:38 PM | Market resolved | May 18 Confirmed. | 72% | 1.33x | 2,865 MK |
| May 16, 2026, 4:08 PM | Bet placed | May 18 Confirmed. | 72% | 1.33x | 2,865 MK |
| May 15, 2026, 7:29 PM | Bet placed | May 18 Confirmed. | 80% | 1.19x | 2,580 MK |
| May 15, 2026, 3:57 PM | Bet placed | May 18 Confirmed. | 75% | 1.27x | 2,105 MK |
| May 15, 2026, 1:08 AM | Bet placed | May 18 Confirmed. | 68% | 1.40x | 1,630 MK |
| May 15, 2026, 12:35 AM | Bet placed | May 18 Confirmed. | 96% | 1.00x | 1,155 MK |