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Will GTA 6 include a playable basketball mini-game at launch?

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Pool

160 MK

Pool fee

8 MK

Removed before winnings are shared.

Net pool

152 MK

Closes

Sep 30, 2026, 10:59 AM

Market context

Take-Two just dropped NBA 2K26 into the GTA+ library and the community immediately connected it to leaked references of a 3v3 basketball mini-game in GTA 6. There's also a basketball court visible in official screenshots, with Jason and Cal mid-game. Rockstar built sports arenas into Leonida's world. The real question is whether you'll actually get to use them.

Read the story behind this market

Market options

Ballin'.

GTA 6 includes any form of playable basketball at launch. Must be interactive gameplay, not a cutscene or spectator event.

59% chance · 94 MK in pool · 2 bets

1.62x

Other Sports Only.

GTA 6 launches with at least one playable sport or physical activity (golf, tennis, gym, darts, etc.) but no basketball in any playable form.

21% chance · 33 MK in pool · 0 bets

4.61x

No Sports at All.

GTA 6 launches with no playable sports or physical mini-games of any kind at launch.

21% chance · 33 MK in pool · 0 bets

4.61x

Market status

This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.

Market movement

This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.

Leading outcome chance

Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.

Latest: 59%
0%50%100%Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM: Ballin'. at 59%

Market odds converted

Ballin'.

1.62x
Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM59%Net pool152 MK

Bet placed

n/a

n/a
Mar 8, 2026, 6:26 AMn/aNet pool60 MK

Bet placed

n/a

n/a
Mar 7, 2026, 10:19 PMn/aNet pool50 MK

Opening odds

n/a

n/a
Mar 7, 2026, 10:12 PMn/aNet pool0 MK