GTA BOOM
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THE BOOKIE

Will any major AAA game release in October or November 2026 within two weeks of GTA 6's launch?

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Pool

560 MK

Pool fee

28 MK

Removed before winnings are shared.

Net pool

532 MK

Closes

Nov 1, 2026, 12:59 PM

Market context

October is empty. November belongs to Rockstar. December is a ghost town. The entire Q4 2026 release calendar has been hollowed out by the gravitational pull of GTA 6, with even NBA 2K27 fleeing to September. But the real gamble isn't Rockstar's, it's everyone else's. Every publisher that cleared out of holiday 2026 is privately hoping they didn't surrender the biggest sales window of the year for a game that's already been delayed twice.

Read the story behind this market

Market options

Someone Dares.

At least one AAA title from a major publisher launches in that window.

69% chance · 384 MK in pool · 2 bets

1.39x

Q4 Belongs to Rockstar.

No major AAA title launches in the window.

24% chance · 133 MK in pool · 2 bets

4.00x

GTA 6 Moves Again.

GTA 6 does not release on November 19, 2026.

8% chance · 43 MK in pool · 1 bets

12.4x

Market status

This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.

Market movement

This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.

Leading outcome chance

Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.

Latest: 69%
0%50%100%Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM: Someone Dares. at 69%

Market odds converted

Someone Dares.

1.39x
Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM69%Net pool532 MK

Bet placed

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Mar 19, 2026, 5:53 PMn/aNet pool460 MK

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Mar 11, 2026, 11:52 PMn/aNet pool450 MK

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Mar 11, 2026, 9:04 AMn/aNet pool400 MK

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Mar 11, 2026, 8:59 AMn/aNet pool300 MK

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Mar 11, 2026, 12:45 AMn/aNet pool50 MK