Yes (Publicly Playable).
You can type a prompt and play a 3D game immediately.
17% chance · 34 MK in pool · 0 bets
Pool
200 MK
Pool fee
10 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
190 MK
Closes
Nov 19, 2026, 3:41 PM
Market context
Elon Musk claims there is a "non-zero chance" AI will let you generate your own GTA 6 before the real one arrives in November. With only 10 months to go, is this the next tech revolution, or just vaporware hype?
Market options
5.59x
Demo / Waitlist Only.
Tech is shown off by xAI/OpenAI, but not public.
17% chance · 33 MK in pool · 0 bets
No (Musk's Prediction Fails).
No significant 3D game generator exists by Nov 19.
67% chance · 133 MK in pool · 1 bets
Market status
This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.
Market movement
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Latest: 67%
Market odds converted
No (Musk's Prediction Fails).
Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM67%Net pool190 MK
Bet placed
n/a
Jan 28, 2026, 12:48 AMn/aNet pool100 MK
Opening odds
n/a
Jan 26, 2026, 3:21 PMn/aNet pool0 MK
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM | Market odds converted | No (Musk's Prediction Fails). | 67% | 1.43x | 190 MK |
| Jan 28, 2026, 12:48 AM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 100 MK |
| Jan 26, 2026, 3:21 PM | Opening odds | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0 MK |