Early Access (Before Midnight).
Sales begin the evening before (e.g., 9:00 PM local time).
14% chance · 89 MK in pool · 2 bets
The Bookie
When will major US retailers (eg GameStop) begin selling physical copies of GTA 6?
For Red Dead Redemption 2, retailers moved sales up to 9 PM. But GTA 5 was famous for true Midnight madness. Will Rockstar demand a strict 12:00 AM street date to build hype, or allow retailers to sell it at 9 PM?
VoidedMarket odds
Pool
650 MK
Pool fee
32 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
618 MK
Closes
Jun 29, 2026, 12:28 AM
Market context
For Red Dead Redemption 2, retailers moved sales up to 9 PM. But GTA 5 was famous for true Midnight madness. Will Rockstar demand a strict 12:00 AM street date to build hype, or allow retailers to sell it at 9 PM?
Market options
6.94x
Strict Midnight (12:00 AM).
Sales begin exactly at midnight on launch day.
81% chance · 528 MK in pool · 1 bets
Morning Only (Regular Hours).
No late-night event; sales begin when stores open on Nov 19.
5% chance · 33 MK in pool · 0 bets
Market status
"Physical copies" inferred some sort of disc. There is no disc.
Market movement
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Latest: 81%
Market voided
Strict Midnight (12:00 AM).
Jun 29, 2026, 12:28 AM81%Net pool618 MK
Bet placed
Strict Midnight (12:00 AM).
Jun 23, 2026, 3:08 PM81%Net pool618 MK
Market odds converted
Strict Midnight (12:00 AM).
Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM82%Net pool613 MK
Bet placed
n/a
Feb 13, 2026, 2:22 AMn/aNet pool545 MK
Bet placed
n/a
Feb 12, 2026, 8:59 PMn/aNet pool50 MK
Opening odds
n/a
Feb 12, 2026, 8:57 PMn/aNet pool0 MK
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026, 12:28 AM | Market voided | Strict Midnight (12:00 AM). | 81% | 1.17x | 618 MK |
| Jun 23, 2026, 3:08 PM | Bet placed | Strict Midnight (12:00 AM). | 81% | 1.17x | 618 MK |
| Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM | Market odds converted | Strict Midnight (12:00 AM). | 82% | 1.16x | 613 MK |
| Feb 13, 2026, 2:22 AM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 545 MK |
| Feb 12, 2026, 8:59 PM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 50 MK |
| Feb 12, 2026, 8:57 PM | Opening odds | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0 MK |