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Will Microsoft/Xbox make an explicit on-the-record commitment to continue supporting physical game discs on Xbox?

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Pool

105 MK

Pool fee

5 MK

Removed before winnings are shared.

Net pool

100 MK

Closes

Sep 25, 2026, 11:59 PM

Market context

Xbox is signaling a physical-friendly stance just as PlayStation publicly sunsets discs. Collectors and regions with spotty internet are watching for something stronger than playful marketing. The open question is whether Microsoft will lock in a clear policy commitment to discs or keep it vague.

Market options

Clear Commitment Made (by Sep 30).

Microsoft/Xbox explicitly commits to ongoing support for physical game discs on Xbox in an official channel.

38% chance · 40 MK in pool · 1 bets

2.50x

Soft or Ambiguous Only.

Xbox acknowledges current discs or "where feasible" support but avoids a firm forward-looking commitment.

41% chance · 43 MK in pool · 0 bets

2.33x

No Commitment By Deadline.

No qualifying statement establishing future disc support policy is published by Sep 30, 2026.

21% chance · 22 MK in pool · 0 bets

4.55x

Market status

This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.

Market movement

This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.

Leading outcome chance

Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.

Latest: 41%
0%50%100%Jul 8, 2026, 2:19 AM: Soft or Ambiguous Only. at 41%

Bet placed

Soft or Ambiguous Only.

2.33x
Jul 8, 2026, 2:19 AM41%Net pool100 MK