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Will GTA 6 Trailer 3 reclaim the all-time 24-hour trailer view record from Spider-Man: Brand New Day?

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Pool

2,265 MK

Pool fee

113 MK

Removed before winnings are shared.

Net pool

2,152 MK

Closes

Aug 31, 2026, 11:59 AM

Market context

Spider Man: Brand New Day just obliterated GTA 6's all time trailer record. 718.6 million views in 24 hours versus Trailer 2's 475 million. Sony did it with a multi platform blitz: influencer snippets, Instagram, TikTok, paid placements. Rockstar dropped Trailer 2 on YouTube and let it ride. With Zelnick confirming GTA 6's marketing push starts this summer, Trailer 3 is not just a reveal anymore. It is a test of whether Rockstar can out market a movie studio with a century of promotional experience.

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Market options

Record Reclaimed.

GTA 6 Trailer 3 exceeds 718.6 million combined views across all platforms within 24 hours of release.

49% chance · 1,099 MK in pool · 5 bets

1.96x

Massive but Second Place.

GTA 6 Trailer 3 exceeds its own Trailer 2 record (475 million views in 24 hours) but does not surpass Spider Man's 718.6 million.

28% chance · 633 MK in pool · 2 bets

3.40x

Falls Short.

GTA 6 Trailer 3 fails to match its own Trailer 2 record of 475 million views in 24 hours.

24% chance · 533 MK in pool · 1 bets

4.04x

Market status

This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.

Market movement

This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.

Leading outcome chance

Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.

Latest: 49%

Bet placed

Record Reclaimed.

1.96x

Jul 26, 2026, 12:55 PM49%Net pool2,152 MK

Bet placed

Record Reclaimed.

1.87x

Jul 21, 2026, 12:13 PM51%Net pool2,057 MK

Market odds converted

Record Reclaimed.

1.88x

Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM51%Net pool2,052 MK

Bet placed

n/a

Mar 24, 2026, 12:06 PMn/aNet pool2,060 MK

Bet placed

n/a

Mar 24, 2026, 5:02 AMn/aNet pool1,560 MK

Bet placed

n/a

Mar 21, 2026, 8:02 PMn/aNet pool1,550 MK

Recorded	What changed	Leading outcome	Chance then	Payout then	Net pool
Jul 26, 2026, 12:55 PM	Bet placed	Record Reclaimed.	49%	1.96x	2,152 MK
Jul 21, 2026, 12:13 PM	Bet placed	Record Reclaimed.	51%	1.87x	2,057 MK
Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM	Market odds converted	Record Reclaimed.	51%	1.88x	2,052 MK
Mar 24, 2026, 12:06 PM	Bet placed	n/a	n/a	n/a	2,060 MK
Mar 24, 2026, 5:02 AM	Bet placed	n/a	n/a	n/a	1,560 MK
Mar 21, 2026, 8:02 PM	Bet placed	n/a	n/a	n/a	1,550 MK