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Will Devolver Digital actually release a game on November 19, 2026, the same day as GTA 6?

Open this market in The Bookie

Pool

14,335 MK

Pool fee

716 MK

Removed before winnings are shared.

Net pool

13,619 MK

Closes

Oct 31, 2026, 10:59 AM

Market context

Every publisher in the industry fled to September. Devolver quote-tweeted the coverage with two words: "Not every publisher." The indie publisher has now pledged twice to ship a game the exact same day as GTA 6, re-committing each time the date moved. The logic is sneaky-smart: GTA 6 isn't on Steam at launch, Devolver's $20 games don't compete with an $80 blockbuster for wallet share, and November 19 Steam traffic will be at an annual peak with nothing new to buy. Or it's all an elaborate bit from the most meta publisher in gaming. Devolver Directs have a habit of blurring that line.

Read the story behind this market

Market options

Same Day Delivery.

Devolver releases a new game on exactly November 19, 2026, making good on the pledge word for word.

37% chance · 5,311 MK in pool · 32 bets

2.56x

Launch Week Dodge.

Devolver releases a new game within seven days of November 19 but not on the exact day. Close enough to claim the joke landed, not close enough to honor the dare.

24% chance · 3,396 MK in pool · 19 bets

4.01x

All Talk.

No new Devolver release lands on or within a week of November 19. The pledge was the punchline all along.

39% chance · 5,628 MK in pool · 22 bets

2.42x

Market status

This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.

Market movement

This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.

Leading outcome chance

Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.

Latest: 39%
0%50%100%Jul 21, 2026, 12:45 PM: Same Day Delivery. at 38%Jul 21, 2026, 1:23 PM: Same Day Delivery. at 40%Jul 21, 2026, 2:50 PM: Same Day Delivery. at 40%Jul 21, 2026, 3:05 PM: Same Day Delivery. at 40%Jul 21, 2026, 6:57 PM: Same Day Delivery. at 40%Jul 21, 2026, 9:12 PM: Same Day Delivery. at 39%Jul 21, 2026, 10:27 PM: Same Day Delivery. at 38%Jul 22, 2026, 7:46 AM: Same Day Delivery. at 38%Jul 22, 2026, 9:35 PM: Same Day Delivery. at 38%Jul 22, 2026, 9:54 PM: Same Day Delivery. at 38%Jul 23, 2026, 12:37 PM: All Talk. at 39%Jul 23, 2026, 1:57 PM: All Talk. at 39%

Bet placed

All Talk.

2.42x
Jul 23, 2026, 1:57 PM39%Net pool13,619 MK

Bet placed

All Talk.

2.42x
Jul 23, 2026, 12:37 PM39%Net pool13,614 MK

Bet placed

Same Day Delivery.

2.47x
Jul 22, 2026, 9:54 PM38%Net pool13,139 MK

Bet placed

Same Day Delivery.

2.48x
Jul 22, 2026, 9:35 PM38%Net pool13,134 MK

Bet placed

Same Day Delivery.

2.48x
Jul 22, 2026, 7:46 AM38%Net pool13,129 MK

Bet placed

Same Day Delivery.

2.47x
Jul 21, 2026, 10:27 PM38%Net pool13,082 MK