GTA BOOM
Full search page

THE BOOKIE

Will Devolver Digital actually release a game on November 19, 2026, the same day as GTA 6?

Open this market in The Bookie

Pool

4,810 MK

Pool fee

240 MK

Removed before winnings are shared.

Net pool

4,570 MK

Closes

Oct 31, 2026, 10:59 AM

Market context

Every publisher in the industry fled to September. Devolver quote-tweeted the coverage with two words: "Not every publisher." The indie publisher has now pledged twice to ship a game the exact same day as GTA 6, re-committing each time the date moved. The logic is sneaky-smart: GTA 6 isn't on Steam at launch, Devolver's $20 games don't compete with an $80 blockbuster for wallet share, and November 19 Steam traffic will be at an annual peak with nothing new to buy. Or it's all an elaborate bit from the most meta publisher in gaming. Devolver Directs have a habit of blurring that line.

Read the story behind this market

Market options

Same Day Delivery.

Devolver releases a new game on exactly November 19, 2026, making good on the pledge word for word.

36% chance · 1,746 MK in pool · 13 bets

2.62x

Launch Week Dodge.

Devolver releases a new game within seven days of November 19 but not on the exact day. Close enough to claim the joke landed, not close enough to honor the dare.

27% chance · 1,311 MK in pool · 6 bets

3.49x

All Talk.

No new Devolver release lands on or within a week of November 19. The pledge was the punchline all along.

36% chance · 1,753 MK in pool · 5 bets

2.61x

Market status

This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.

Market movement

This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.

Leading outcome chance

Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.

Latest: 36%
0%50%100%Jul 11, 2026, 9:33 AM: All Talk. at 50%Jul 11, 2026, 3:28 PM: All Talk. at 50%Jul 11, 2026, 11:54 PM: All Talk. at 45%Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 PM: All Talk. at 45%Jul 13, 2026, 7:32 AM: All Talk. at 53%Jul 13, 2026, 4:08 PM: All Talk. at 53%Jul 14, 2026, 5:00 AM: All Talk. at 53%Jul 14, 2026, 1:14 PM: All Talk. at 53%Jul 14, 2026, 1:34 PM: All Talk. at 46%Jul 14, 2026, 4:51 PM: All Talk. at 46%Jul 14, 2026, 5:50 PM: All Talk. at 41%Jul 14, 2026, 10:58 PM: All Talk. at 36%

Bet placed

All Talk.

2.61x
Jul 14, 2026, 10:58 PM36%Net pool4,570 MK

Bet placed

All Talk.

2.34x
Jul 14, 2026, 5:50 PM41%Net pool4,095 MK

Bet placed

All Talk.

2.07x
Jul 14, 2026, 4:51 PM46%Net pool3,620 MK

Bet placed

All Talk.

2.06x
Jul 14, 2026, 1:34 PM46%Net pool3,615 MK

Bet placed

All Talk.

1.79x
Jul 14, 2026, 1:14 PM53%Net pool3,140 MK

Bet placed

All Talk.

1.79x
Jul 14, 2026, 5:00 AM53%Net pool3,135 MK