Before Take Two's May Earnings Call.
Trailer 3 is published by Rockstar before or during the week of Take Two's expected mid May 2026 earnings call.
28% chance · 874 MK in pool · 10 bets
Pool
3,085 MK
Pool fee
154 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
2,931 MK
Closes
May 18, 2026, 11:59 AM
Market context
Rockstar just cleared three weeks of Newswire space by bundling all GTA Online updates into one post. That is the same pattern that preceded both Trailer 1 and Trailer 2. PlayStation title IDs tied to GTA 6 have already surfaced and been scrubbed. Zelnick says summer marketing starts soon and that Rockstar needs to "show consumers what the visuals look like." The evidence is stacking up, but Rockstar has spent 13 years proving it announces things on its own schedule, not anyone else's.
Trailer 3 is published by Rockstar before or during the week of Take Two's expected mid May 2026 earnings call.
28% chance · 874 MK in pool · 10 bets
Trailer 3 drops between June 1 and August 31, 2026, aligning with Zelnick's confirmed summer marketing push.
54% chance · 1,673 MK in pool · 8 bets
Trailer 3 does not arrive until September 2026 or beyond, or Rockstar skips a traditional trailer entirely and reveals gameplay through a different format (livestream, showcase, hands on event).
17% chance · 538 MK in pool · 2 bets
This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Bet placed
Summer Window (June to August).
Market odds converted
Summer Window (June to August).
Bet placed
n/a
Bet placed
n/a
Bet placed
n/a
Bet placed
n/a
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026, 6:59 AM | Bet placed | Summer Window (June to August). | 54% | 1.75x | 2,931 MK |
| Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM | Market odds converted | Summer Window (June to August). | 54% | 1.75x | 2,926 MK |
| Apr 24, 2026, 1:46 PM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 2,980 MK |
| Apr 22, 2026, 2:13 AM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 2,975 MK |
| Apr 11, 2026, 6:20 AM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 2,925 MK |
| Apr 7, 2026, 1:11 AM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 2,920 MK |