R 18+.Winner
GTA VI has an Australian R 18+ classification in force at the deadline.
78% chance · 3,592 MK in pool · 10 bets
The Bookie
A leaked PlayStation ad showed an X 18+ label, which Australia does not use for games. Will GTA VI receive R 18+, a lower rating, or be refused classification before launch?
Pool
4,620 MK
Pool fee
231 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
4,389 MK
Closes
Oct 1, 2026, 9:25 PM
Market context
A leaked PlayStation ad showed an X 18+ label, which Australia does not use for games. Will GTA VI receive R 18+, a lower rating, or be refused classification before launch?
Snapshot at November 18, 2026, 23:59 UTC, even if launch is delayed. Grade Rockstar's Australian GTA VI launch console game only, excluding GTA Online, PC, films, trailers, mods and unrelated titles. Use the Australian Classification register and official Board or Review Board decisions. Rockstar/platform information may corroborate identity, not override the Board. Authentic applicable IARC decisions count. Use the latest decision in force at the snapshot; for genuinely different launch console versions use the most restrictive rating: RC, R 18+, MA 15+, M, PG, G. Missing research, an inaccessible source or uncertain product identity requires deferred grading, not the no-classification outcome. Later access may verify the historical snapshot; later-issued decisions do not count. R 18+. GTA VI has an Australian R 18+ classification in force at the deadline. The latest qualifying decision in force at the snapshot is R 18+. Apply the version and source hierarchy in the resolution rules. MA 15+ or lower. GTA VI has an Australian MA 15+, M, PG or G classification in force at the deadline. The latest qualifying decision in force at the snapshot is MA 15+, M, PG or G. Apply the version and source hierarchy in the resolution rules. Refused Classification. GTA VI has an Australian RC decision in force at the deadline. The latest qualifying decision in force at the snapshot is Refused Classification. Apply the version and source hierarchy in the resolution rules. No confirmed classification. No qualifying Australian classification decision is publicly recorded by the deadline. No qualifying decision for Rockstar's Australian GTA VI console game is publicly recorded at the snapshot. This is the fallback when none of the above decisions exists, not when research or source access is incomplete. Defer grading for inaccessible sources or unresolved identity.
GTA VI has an Australian R 18+ classification in force at the deadline.
78% chance · 3,592 MK in pool · 10 bets
GTA VI has an Australian MA 15+, M, PG or G classification in force at the deadline.
0% chance · 15 MK in pool · 0 bets
GTA VI has an Australian RC decision in force at the deadline.
22% chance · 1,002 MK in pool · 2 bets
No qualifying Australian classification decision is publicly recorded by the deadline.
0% chance · 11 MK in pool · 0 bets
Final outcome: R 18+. GTA VI has an Australian R 18+ classification in force at the deadline..
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Market resolved
R 18+.
Bet placed
R 18+.
Bet placed
R 18+.
Bet placed
R 18+.
Bet placed
R 18+.
Bet placed
R 18+.
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026, 9:25 PM | Market resolved | R 18+. | 78% | 1.22x | 4,389 MK |
| Oct 1, 2026, 5:04 PM | Bet placed | R 18+. | 78% | 1.22x | 4,389 MK |
| Oct 1, 2026, 12:02 PM | Bet placed | R 18+. | 75% | 1.26x | 3,952 MK |
| Oct 1, 2026, 9:45 AM | Bet placed | R 18+. | 86% | 1.11x | 3,477 MK |
| Sep 30, 2026, 11:44 PM | Bet placed | R 18+. | 83% | 1.14x | 3,002 MK |
| Sep 30, 2026, 11:22 PM | Bet placed | R 18+. | 80% | 1.19x | 2,527 MK |