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What Australian classification will GTA VI have before launch?

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Pool

655 MK

Pool fee

32 MK

Removed before winnings are shared.

Net pool

623 MK

Closes

Oct 15, 2026, 11:59 PM

Market context

A leaked PlayStation ad showed an X 18+ label, which Australia does not use for games. Will GTA VI receive R 18+, a lower rating, or be refused classification before launch?

Read the story behind this market

Market options

R 18+.

GTA VI has an Australian R 18+ classification in force at the deadline.

96% chance · 627 MK in pool · 3 bets

1.00x

MA 15+ or lower.

GTA VI has an Australian MA 15+, M, PG or G classification in force at the deadline.

2% chance · 15 MK in pool · 0 bets

20.0x

Refused Classification.

GTA VI has an Australian RC decision in force at the deadline.

0% chance · 2 MK in pool · 0 bets

20.0x

No confirmed classification.

No qualifying Australian classification decision is publicly recorded by the deadline.

2% chance · 11 MK in pool · 0 bets

20.0x

Market status

This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.

Market movement

This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.

Leading outcome chance

Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.

Latest: 96%

Bet placed

R 18+.

1.00x

Sep 30, 2026, 7:43 AM96%Net pool623 MK

Bet placed

R 18+.

1.00x

Sep 30, 2026, 7:15 AM96%Net pool618 MK

Bet placed

R 18+.

1.17x

Sep 30, 2026, 4:19 AM81%Net pool143 MK

Opening odds

R 18+.

1.32x

Sep 30, 2026, 4:19 AM72%Net pool95 MK

Recorded	What changed	Leading outcome	Chance then	Payout then	Net pool
Sep 30, 2026, 7:43 AM	Bet placed	R 18+.	96%	1.00x	623 MK
Sep 30, 2026, 7:15 AM	Bet placed	R 18+.	96%	1.00x	618 MK
Sep 30, 2026, 4:19 AM	Bet placed	R 18+.	81%	1.17x	143 MK
Sep 30, 2026, 4:19 AM	Opening odds	R 18+.	72%	1.32x	95 MK