Official Government Ban (Added to Extremist list/Roskomnadzor block)
6% chance · 25 MK in pool · 0 bets
Pool
450 MK
Pool fee
22 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
428 MK
Closes
Nov 19, 2026, 3:41 PM
Market context
Russian politicians are calling GTA 6 "Western Propaganda" and demanding a version "cleansed of immoral content" (like the rumored male strip clubs). Will the Kremlin actually pass a law to ban it, will Rockstar cave and censor it, or is this just empty posturing?
Market options
17.1x
Censored Version (Rockstar releases a modified "clean" RU version)
61% chance · 275 MK in pool · 1 bets
No New Legislation (Ivanov ignored; status quo/grey market prevails)
28% chance · 125 MK in pool · 1 bets
Rockstar/Take-Two blocks Russia (Publisher voluntarily blocks activation)
6% chance · 25 MK in pool · 0 bets
Market status
This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.
Market movement
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Latest: 61%
Market odds converted
Censored Version (Rockstar releases a modified "clean" RU version).
Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM61%Net pool428 MK
Bet placed
n/a
Jan 27, 2026, 8:06 AMn/aNet pool350 MK
Bet placed
n/a
Jan 27, 2026, 6:18 AMn/aNet pool100 MK
Opening odds
n/a
Jan 26, 2026, 3:21 PMn/aNet pool0 MK
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM | Market odds converted | Censored Version (Rockstar releases a modified "clean" RU version). | 61% | 1.56x | 428 MK |
| Jan 27, 2026, 8:06 AM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 350 MK |
| Jan 27, 2026, 6:18 AM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 100 MK |
| Jan 26, 2026, 3:21 PM | Opening odds | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0 MK |