Below $200.
The hype deflates, a delay hits, or the broader market drags TTWO below where it started the summer.
8% chance · 8 MK in pool · 0 bets
THE BOOKIE
Pool
105 MK
Pool fee
5 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
100 MK
Closes
Nov 4, 2026, 10:59 AM
Market context
Piper Sandler initiated coverage of Take-Two with a $280 price target, roughly $58 above today's price and about $10 billion in projected value creation, all riding on GTA 6. The Best Buy rumor alone moved the stock 10% in a single morning and that was based on wrong information. Trailer 3, pre orders, edition reveals, and the final countdown to launch are all still ahead. Every one of them is a potential catalyst. The question is where the stock actually sits when the market closes on the eve of the biggest entertainment launch in history. Resolution uses the official NASDAQ closing price on November 18, 2026.
The hype deflates, a delay hits, or the broader market drags TTWO below where it started the summer.
8% chance · 8 MK in pool · 0 bets
The stock holds roughly where it is today. The GTA 6 premium is already priced in and the marketing campaign doesn't move the needle much further.
25% chance · 26 MK in pool · 0 bets
A strong run. Trailer 3, pre orders, and launch anticipation push the stock well past current levels but short of the Piper Sandler target.
49% chance · 51 MK in pool · 1 bets
The Piper Sandler target is hit before the game ships. Pre order numbers and marketing momentum deliver the full market cap add early.
19% chance · 20 MK in pool · 0 bets
This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Bet placed
$240 to $279.
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026, 10:16 PM | Bet placed | $240 to $279. | 49% | 1.96x | 100 MK |