Hard Numbers Published.
Microsoft, Xbox, or a verified Xbox executive account publishes a numeric GTA 6 preorder total, preorder share, or equivalent hard figure before launch.
12% chance · 18 MK in pool · 0 bets
THE BOOKIE
Pool
150 MK
Pool fee
7 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
143 MK
Closes
Nov 18, 2026, 11:59 PM
Market context
Xbox has publicly pushed back on claims about GTA 6 preorder demand, but the company has not shown hard numbers. This market asks whether Microsoft, Xbox, or a verified Xbox executive account will publish a numeric preorder total or share before the game launches. If no qualifying figure is published by the deadline, that counts as no.
2026-11-19T00:00:00+00:00 Hard Numbers Published. Microsoft, Xbox, or a verified Xbox executive account publishes a numeric GTA 6 preorder total, preorder share, or equivalent hard figure before launch. Win if, before 2026-11-19 00:00 UTC, Microsoft, Xbox, or a verified Xbox executive account publicly posts or states an explicit numeric GTA 6 preorder figure or share for Xbox. Qualifying sources include official Xbox/Microsoft press materials, investor relations, earnings materials, or verified executive social posts. Vague claims like 'breaking records,' 'very happy,' or 'strong performance' do not count unless paired with a numeric preorder figure. No Hard Figures Before Launch. No qualifying numeric preorder figure is published by the deadline. Win if no qualifying public statement appears by 2026-11-19 00:00 UTC from Microsoft, Xbox, or a verified Xbox executive account. Non-numeric praise, internal-analysis references without numbers, or third-party estimates do not count.
Microsoft, Xbox, or a verified Xbox executive account publishes a numeric GTA 6 preorder total, preorder share, or equivalent hard figure before launch.
12% chance · 18 MK in pool · 0 bets
No qualifying numeric preorder figure is published by the deadline.
88% chance · 132 MK in pool · 1 bets
This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Bet placed
No Hard Figures Before Launch.
Opening odds
No Hard Figures Before Launch.
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026, 2:15 AM | Bet placed | No Hard Figures Before Launch. | 88% | 1.08x | 143 MK |
| Sep 28, 2026, 2:09 AM | Opening odds | No Hard Figures Before Launch. | 82% | 1.16x | 95 MK |