Trailer 3 Drops.
Rockstar releases GTA 6 Trailer 3 between May 1 and May 22, 2026. Must be an official new trailer, not a re cut or teaser.
26% chance · 3,910 MK in pool · 25 bets
The Bookie
What will be the biggest GTA 6 announcement during the May 21 earnings call window?
Take Two just confirmed the next earnings call for May 21. That's the last investor checkpoint before summer marketing and the final chance to reaffirm November 19 without causing a shareholder panic. Last year's earnings call on May 15, 2025 came with Trailer 2 and 70 screenshots. Rockstar doesn't send Zelnick into a call empty handed. Four weeks out, the odds on what lands first are wide open: a trailer, pre orders, both, or something nobody's ready for.
ResolvedMarket odds
Pool
14,930 MK
Pool fee
746 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
14,184 MK
Closes
May 19, 2026, 11:59 AM
Market context
Take Two just confirmed the next earnings call for May 21. That's the last investor checkpoint before summer marketing and the final chance to reaffirm November 19 without causing a shareholder panic. Last year's earnings call on May 15, 2025 came with Trailer 2 and 70 screenshots. Rockstar doesn't send Zelnick into a call empty handed. Four weeks out, the odds on what lands first are wide open: a trailer, pre orders, both, or something nobody's ready for.
Market options
3.63x
Pre Orders Open.
Rockstar officially opens GTA 6 pre orders on any platform between May 1 and May 22, 2026, without releasing Trailer 3.
25% chance · 3,785 MK in pool · 15 bets
Both Trailer and Pre Orders.
Both Trailer 3 drops and pre orders open within the May 1 to May 22 window.
19% chance · 2,850 MK in pool · 12 bets
Status Quo.Winner
The earnings call passes with no new trailer and no pre order launch in the May 1 to May 22 window. Only a verbal reaffirmation of the November 19 date or standard financial commentary.
17% chance · 2,545 MK in pool · 13 bets
Another Delay.
Take Two announces a delay pushing GTA 6 past November 19, 2026 at or before the May 21 earnings call.
12% chance · 1,840 MK in pool · 13 bets
Market status
Final outcome: Status Quo. The earnings call passes with no new trailer and no pre order launch in the May 1 to May 22 window. Only a verbal reaffirmation of the November 19 date or standard financial commentary..
Market movement
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Latest: 26%
Market resolved
Trailer 3 Drops.
May 21, 2026, 9:38 PM26%Net pool14,184 MK
Bet placed
Trailer 3 Drops.
May 19, 2026, 7:09 AM26%Net pool14,184 MK
Bet placed
Trailer 3 Drops.
May 18, 2026, 4:37 PM27%Net pool13,923 MK
Bet placed
Pre Orders Open.
May 18, 2026, 2:09 PM27%Net pool13,448 MK
Bet placed
Pre Orders Open.
May 17, 2026, 11:33 PM28%Net pool12,973 MK
Bet placed
Pre Orders Open.
May 17, 2026, 7:57 PM28%Net pool12,968 MK
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026, 9:38 PM | Market resolved | Trailer 3 Drops. | 26% | 3.63x | 14,184 MK |
| May 19, 2026, 7:09 AM | Bet placed | Trailer 3 Drops. | 26% | 3.63x | 14,184 MK |
| May 18, 2026, 4:37 PM | Bet placed | Trailer 3 Drops. | 27% | 3.56x | 13,923 MK |
| May 18, 2026, 2:09 PM | Bet placed | Pre Orders Open. | 27% | 3.55x | 13,448 MK |
| May 17, 2026, 11:33 PM | Bet placed | Pre Orders Open. | 28% | 3.43x | 12,973 MK |
| May 17, 2026, 7:57 PM | Bet placed | Pre Orders Open. | 28% | 3.43x | 12,968 MK |