Trailer 3 Drops. Rockstar releases GTA 6 Trailer 3 between May 1 and May 22, 2026. Must be an official new trailer, not a re cut or teaser.
31% chance · 1,100 MK in pool · 8 bets
The Bookie
What will be the biggest GTA 6 announcement during the May 21 earnings call window?
Take Two just confirmed the next earnings call for May 21. That's the last investor checkpoint before summer marketing and the final chance to reaffirm November 19 without causing a shareholder panic. Last year's earnings call on May 15, 2025 came with Trailer 2 and 70 screenshots. Rockstar doesn't send Zelnick into a call empty handed. Four weeks out, the odds on what lands first are wide open: a trailer, pre orders, both, or something nobody's ready for.
Live marketMarket odds
Pool
3,510 MK
Pool fee
175 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
3,335 MK
Closes
May 19, 2026, 11:59 AM
Market options
3.03x
Pre Orders Open. Rockstar officially opens GTA 6 pre orders on any platform between May 1 and May 22, 2026, without releasing Trailer 3.
15% chance · 520 MK in pool · 1 bets
Both Trailer and Pre Orders. Both Trailer 3 drops and pre orders open within the May 1 to May 22 window.
15% chance · 535 MK in pool · 4 bets
Status Quo. The earnings call passes with no new trailer and no pre order launch in the May 1 to May 22 window. Only a verbal reaffirmation of the November 19 date or standard financial commentary.
24% chance · 835 MK in pool · 6 bets
Another Delay. Take Two announces a delay pushing GTA 6 past November 19, 2026 at or before the May 21 earnings call.
15% chance · 520 MK in pool · 1 bets
Market status
This market is open. Odds can move as more MK enters the pool.
Market movement
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Latest: 31%
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM | Market odds converted | Trailer 3 Drops. | 31% | 3.03x | 3,335 MK |
| Apr 25, 2026, 11:44 AM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 3,410 MK |
| Apr 25, 2026, 7:02 AM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 3,405 MK |
| Apr 25, 2026, 12:50 AM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 3,355 MK |
| Apr 25, 2026, 12:40 AM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 2,855 MK |
| Apr 24, 2026, 9:30 PM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 2,850 MK |