Real and Applies to GTA 6.
The 30 day online check in is confirmed as intentional Sony policy and applies to digital GTA 6 purchases at launch.
23% chance · 25 MK in pool · 0 bets
The Bookie
What's the deal with Sony's reported 30 day DRM check in and how does it affect GTA 6? Options
Sony quietly rolled out something in the March 2026 firmware update that has digital PS5 buyers nervous. PlayStation Support says it's intentional. Preservation sites say it's a bug. Modders say their games stopped working after 30 days offline. Sony itself has said absolutely nothing. With GTA 6 seven months out and most copies likely to be sold digitally, the question splits into two: is the DRM even real, and if it is, does GTA 6 escape it?
ResolvedMarket odds
Pool
110 MK
Pool fee
5 MK
Removed before winnings are shared.
Net pool
105 MK
Closes
May 1, 2026, 4:28 AM
Market context
Sony quietly rolled out something in the March 2026 firmware update that has digital PS5 buyers nervous. PlayStation Support says it's intentional. Preservation sites say it's a bug. Modders say their games stopped working after 30 days offline. Sony itself has said absolutely nothing. With GTA 6 seven months out and most copies likely to be sold digitally, the question splits into two: is the DRM even real, and if it is, does GTA 6 escape it?
Market options
4.20x
Real but GTA 6 Exempted.
The 30 day DRM is real and stays in place for other titles, but Sony or Take Two carves out an exemption specifically for digital GTA 6 copies.
23% chance · 25 MK in pool · 0 bets
Bug or Error.
The 30 day check in turns out to be a bug, glitch, or licensing error. Sony patches it out before GTA 6 launches and digital copies behave normally with permanent offline licenses.
32% chance · 35 MK in pool · 1 bets
Fake News.Winner
The whole story is mischaracterized. There's no real 30 day requirement, no policy change, and digital PS5 games behave the way they always have.
23% chance · 25 MK in pool · 0 bets
Market status
Final outcome: Fake News. The whole story is mischaracterized. There's no real 30 day requirement, no policy change, and digital PS5 games behave the way they always have..
Market movement
This tracks how the market has moved over time. A record is saved when odds open, a bet changes the pool, or the market is settled or voided.
Leading outcome chance
Each point is a saved market record after a bet, opening update, or settlement change.
Latest: 32%
Market resolved
Bug or Error.
May 1, 2026, 4:28 AM32%Net pool105 MK
Market odds converted
Bug or Error.
Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM32%Net pool105 MK
Bet placed
n/a
Apr 29, 2026, 1:56 AMn/aNet pool10 MK
Opening odds
n/a
Apr 29, 2026, 1:54 AMn/aNet pool0 MK
| Recorded | What changed | Leading outcome | Chance then | Payout then | Net pool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026, 4:28 AM | Market resolved | Bug or Error. | 32% | 3.00x | 105 MK |
| Apr 30, 2026, 7:57 AM | Market odds converted | Bug or Error. | 32% | 3.00x | 105 MK |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:56 AM | Bet placed | n/a | n/a | n/a | 10 MK |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:54 AM | Opening odds | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0 MK |